Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.749919 0.860790 0.981666 1.123139 1.284084 1.461393 1.671457
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.621032 0.779279 0.966752 1.204808 1.498634 1.849006 2.298127
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.524404 0.714329 0.957152 1.289303 1.730707 2.295946 3.073456
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.430953 0.634052 0.912896 1.321642 1.903225 2.698371 3.865005
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.366734 0.579639 0.891888 1.379745 2.118724 3.191204 4.859598
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.302929 0.512400 0.839350 1.381711 2.252726 3.588950 5.783396
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.259327 0.467300 0.811253 1.414354 2.436519 4.086446 6.933578
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.214562 0.410841 0.753931 1.388156 2.519407 4.435252 7.898880
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.191401 0.387543 0.748241 1.447983 2.755449 5.068178 9.428911
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.174072 0.371473 0.752190 1.524856 3.032422 5.808939 11.251861
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.152801 0.343222 0.727872 1.543407 3.202478 6.378990 12.842825
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.133259 0.314502 0.697294 1.543660 3.335607 6.895842 14.402099
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.116446 0.288725 0.669074 1.545772 3.476670 7.455383 16.141501
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.102747 0.267240 0.646295 1.555761 3.636221 8.075344 18.094636
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.092897 0.252920 0.637037 1.594443 3.864627 8.870820 20.529933
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.081654 0.232690 0.610273 1.587685 3.989150 9.459879 22.600439
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.074313 0.221092 0.602352 1.624982 4.222552 10.322439 25.401846
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.065234 0.202732 0.573955 1.605935 4.316303 10.877528 27.570402
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.059170 0.191636 0.562557 1.629027 4.519211 11.717747 30.530653
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.051488 0.173969 0.529971 1.589364 4.553505 12.152736 32.560854
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.048262 0.169395 0.533466 1.650717 4.867070 13.327766 36.605547
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.045937 0.167227 0.543620 1.733089 5.251423 14.735313 41.433155
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.041931 0.158526 0.532526 1.750784 5.456256 15.698376 45.216487